EVALUATING THE IMPACT OF FODDER PURCHASE AS A DROUGHT MITIGATION STRATEGY FOR SMALLHOLDER CATTLE HOLDINGS IN SOUTH AFRICA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.agrise.2024.024.3.8Keywords:
Cattle, Drought, Fodder, Propensity Score Matching (PSM), SmallholderAbstract
The study set out to investigate how fodder-purchase as a drought response strategy impacts smallholder cattle farmers' (SCF) cattle inventory during drought years. Information on self-financed fodder purchasing as a drought mitigation strategy is thin in the literature. We used pooled survey data from the National Income Dynamics Study (NIDS) collated in the years 2015 and 2017 in South Africa. The nationally representative data was comprised of smallholder cattle households that experienced 2015 to 2017 sustained drought events in South Africa. Propensity score matching method (PSM) was used for the analysis. Factors that influence SCF's decision to adopt fodder purchasing as a drought mitigation strategy include age, income, market participation, crop farm ownership, recipients of secondary off-farm income, social support beneficiaries and land ownership. The PSM result shows that fodder-purchase significantly and positively impacts smallholder cattle production during drought.
References
AgriSETA. (2020). Red meat sub-sector skills plan 2020/2021. Accessed 12 December. www.agriseta.co.za/wpcontent/uploads/2021/02/Agriseta_Red_Meat_SSSP_DIGITAL.pdf.
Aklilu, Y., & Wekesa, M. (2002). Drought, livestock and livelihoods: lessons from the 1999-2001 emergency response in the pastoral sector in Kenya: Overseas Development Institute London.
Bahta, Y. T. (2020). Smallholder livestock farmers coping and adaptation strategies to agricultural drought. AIMS Agriculture and Food, 5(4), 964-982. https://doi.org/10.3934/agrfood.2020.4.964
Bekele, G., & Abera, T. (2008). Livelihoods-based Drought Response in Ethiopia: Impact Assessment of Livestock Feed Supplementation. Feinstein International Center, Tufts University and Save the Children US, Addis Ababa.
Chikoore, H., & Jury, M. R. (2021). South African drought, deconstructed. Weather and Climate Extremes, 33, 100334. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100334
DAFF. (2018). South Africa yearbook 2018/2019. edited by Forestry and Fisheries Department of Agriculture: www.gcis.gov.za/sites/default/files/docs/resourcecentre/yearbook/yb1919-3-Agriculture.
Dzavo, T., Zindove, T. J., Dhliwayo M., & Chimonyo, M. (2019). Effects of drought on cattle production in sub-tropical environments. Tropical Animal Health and Production, 51(3), 669-675. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11250-018-1741-1
Elum, Z. A., Modise, D. M., & Marr, A. (2017). Farmer's perception of climate change and responsive strategies in three selected provinces of South Africa. Climate Risk Management, 16, 246-257. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2016.11.001
Fanadzo, M., Ncube, B., French, A., & Belete, A. (2021). Smallholder farmer coping and adaptation strategies during the 2015-18 drought in the Western Cape, South Africa. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 124, 102986. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2021.102986
FAO. (2019). Developing sustainable value chains for small-scale livestock producers. Edited by G. Leroy & M. Fernando. In FAO Animal Production and Health Guidelines, edited by G. Leroy & M. Fernando. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organisation.
Heckman, J., Ichimura, H., Smith, J., & Todd, P. (1998). Characterizing selection bias using experimental data (w6699; p. w6699). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w6699
Keske, C. M. H., Arnold, P., Cross, J. E., & Bastian, C. T. (2021). Does conservation ethic include intergenerational bequest? A random utility model analysis of conservation easements and agricultural landowners. Rural Sociology, 86(4), 703-727. https://doi.org/10.1111/ruso.12370
Meza, I., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Siebert, S., Ghazaryan, G., Nouri, H., Dubovyk, O., Gerdener, H., Herbert, C., Kusche, J., Popat, E., Rhyner, J., Jordaan, A., Walz, Y., & Hagenlocher, M. (2021). Drought risk for agricultural systems in South Africa: Drivers, spatial patterns, and implications for drought risk management. Science of The Total Environment, 799, 149505. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149505
MLA. (2021). Global Beef Industry and Trade Report. Australia. Meat and Livestock Australia.
Mohamed Sala, S., Otieno, D. J., Nzuma, J., & Mureithi, S. M. (2020). Determinants of pastoralists' participation in commercial fodder markets for livelihood resilience in drylands of northern Kenya: Case of Isiolo. Pastoralism, 10(1), 18. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13570-020-00166-1
Nketiah, P., Ayamga, M., & Mabe, F. N. (2019). Land Deals and Small-Scale Intensive Farming Decisions. Review of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 22(2), 18-25. https://doi.org/10.15414/raae.2019.22.02.18-25
Osbahr, H., Twyman, C., Adger, W. N., & Thomas, D. S. G. (2010). Evaluating successful livelihood adaptation to climate variability and change in southern africa. Ecology and Society, 15(2), art27. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-03388-150227
Pili, O., & Ncube, B. (2022). Smallholder farmer coping and adaptation strategies for agricultural water use during drought periods in the Overberg and West Coast Districts, Western Cape, South Africa. Water SA, 48(1 January). https://doi.org/10.17159/wsa/2022.v48.i1.3846
Salmoral, G., Ababio, B., & Holman, I. (2020). Drought impacts, coping responses and adaptation in the uk outdoor livestock sector: Insights to increase drought resilience. Land, 9(6), 202. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9060202
Smith, J. A., & Todd, P. E. (2005). Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators? Journal of Econometrics, 125(1-2), 305-353. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.04.011
StatsSA. (2016). Community Survey 2016 Agricultural households. South Africa: Statistics South Africa.
Toulmin, C. (1985). Livestock losses and post-drought rehabilitation in sub-Saharan Africa. ILCA LPU Working Paper.
Vetter, S., Goodall, V., & Alcock, R. (2020). Effect of drought on communal livestock farmers in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. African Journal of Range & Forage Science, 37(1), 93-106. https://doi.org/10.2989/10220119.2020.1738552
Vogel, C., & Olivier, D. (2019). Re-imagining the potential of effective drought responses in South Africa. Regional Environmental Change, 19(6), 1561-1570. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1389-4
Worthy, S. L., Mountain, T., Chatterjee, S., Johnson, C., Kiss, E., O'Neill, B., Saboe-Wounded Head, L., & Gutter, M. S. (2020). Differences in the determinants of retirement preparation between farm and nonfarm households. Journal of Applied Farm Economics, 3(2). https://doi.org/10.7771/2331-9151.1048
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Prince Nketiah, Herbert Ntuli, Bright K D Tetteh

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).